We now know who will be in the quarter finals.
But how did our predictions compare to results in the round of 16
Background
We have been predicting the results for the EURO 2024 football tournament, with a target of getting 70% correct
So far in the group stages we predicted 10 of the 16 teams to qualify for the knock out stages (62%)
Have we done better in the round of 16?
Results for the round of 16
Round of 16
Here are who we predicted would get through to the next round
For the first 4 of these we got the correct outcome
With strong wins for Germany and Spain, France managing to win and Portugal eventually winning on penalties with a record breaking three saves from the keeper
For the second 4 matches, we got 3 out of 4 correct
With Switzerland surprising many by beating Italy, we factored in their better than expected performance and had predicted this result
England survived thanks to a late goal from Bellingham taking the game to extra time then going on to score another
Netherlands had a strong win and surprisingly Austria lost 2-1
Overall we scored 7 out of 8 correct , beating our target
Our Quarter Final Predictions
Spain v Germany, Spain have been strong throughout the tournament so far. But Germany have been better than expected too. With the home advantage acting like an extra goal in their favour. We predict Germany will stop Spain
France v Portugal, France have not quite performed to their level yet. Portugal have under performed their expectations too. Our prediction is that France will beat Portugal
England are another team that has been performing below expectations, but are still in it. Switzerland have looked strong and organised. But we think England should have the edge over Switzerland
Netherlands have been delivering the results so far. But Turkey have been performing strongly. We see a win for the Netherlands
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